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All right-wing factions will unite in the European Parliament, i.e. People’s Party, Conservatives and Nationalists. They will remove the Social Democrats and the Greens from power, and the old continent will then be “normal” again, without migrants, the Green Deal and the arrogance of Brussels officials.
This is roughly the plan for the conquest of Brussels, which the head of the Italian League party, Matteo Salvini, spoke about at the weekend meeting of the leaders of the radical right. Before, few people took him seriously. However, it gained ground after the recent victory of the right-wing populist Geert Wilders in the Netherlands, as well as new forecasts for the European elections, which will take place in half a year.
According to the Europe Elects survey from the end of November, three right-wing factions really have a chance. The nationalists (ID faction) have improved in particular, whose star, alongside Salvini and Marine Le Pen, is Wilders. Europe Elects estimates that the Nationalists would now together win 87 of the 720 seats in the European Parliament. The Conservatives (ECR), which includes Petr Fiala’s ODS in addition to the dominant party Brothers of Italy of Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, will gather 83 seats. After adding the 175 seats of the People’s Party or Christian Democrats (EPP), it is almost a majority. Against this, the Social Democrats, the Liberals and the Greens are losing.
The fact that the European Parliament will be controlled by coalitions of “right-of-center” parties, however, can still be successfully doubted. It is not so much about the prospect of whether they will actually achieve the majority. Above all, the People’s Party would have to change their current approach, i.e. determine the EU’s main political line in a grand coalition with the Socialists, to which the liberals of President Emmanuel Macron, or the Greens, were added as needed. Why should they change the established model, which suits the majority of MEPs, and agree with adventurous populists, who, even with the best of intentions, are not clear about what can be expected from them? Perhaps only in relation to Russia.
The Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung nevertheless reminds that there are certain possibilities, as evidenced by the composition of the Italian government, which Meloniová and Salvini agreed with the representatives of Forza Italia, that is, the party that belongs to the populist faction in the European Parliament. At the same time, even the biggest Eurosceptics among the right-wing populists, including Wilders, have already begun to sand the edges of their programs and do not want to leave the EU or cancel the euro. After all, the fight against migration and criticism of the ecological restructuring, which allegedly threatens European prosperity, is becoming a more effective tool for mobilizing voters. It is this new moderation that is the weapon with which the united right intends to conquer Brussels.
For domestic politicians, the layering of political forces in Europe would mean at least a few sleepless nights.
In the European context, Petr Fiala (ECR faction) and Tomio Okamura (ID) should unite to overthrow the established Brussels structures, while on the opposite side of the barricade, Andrej Babiš and Ivan Bartoš from the Liberal and Green factions would defend the “old order”. It would be up to Marian Jureček (EPP) to decide which of them he prefers…